SSE Talks


Straightforward and Obvious Disproof of HIV/AIDS Theory
Jul 27, 2009 at 3:00 AM EST | H. Bauer


Henry Bauer


Infection by HIV is supposedly followed by a “latent period” of roughly 10 years before symptoms of illness--AIDS--appear. At the beginning of the AIDS era, in the early 1980s, the appearance of those symptoms was followed quite soon by death, within months or at most a year or two; so life spans following the initial infection would have averaged 11 or 12 years. AZT, the first anti-AIDS drug to be approved by the FDA, was introduced in 1987. It was supposed to stave off death by maybe as much as a year or so; the drug itself is highly toxic, but even a few extra months of life were regarded at the time as a worthwhile benefit. So from 1987 on, life spans after infection should have been maybe 13 or 14 years instead of 11 or 12. In 1990, AZT began to be given to HIV-positive people before they showed symptoms of AIDS, in order to extend the latent period. So from 1990 on, life spans from the time of infection should have increased again, to more than 15 years or so. In the mid-1990s HAART--Highly Active AntiRetroviral Treatment--was introduced; it involves so-called “cocktails” of several drugs, each drug being administered at considerably lower doses than had been used in AZT monotherapy. It’s not uncommon to see HAART described as “life-saving” and HIV/AIDS as being now a chronic and manageable disease. Thus HAART supposedly allows life spans after infection of twenty years or more.

It follows that the average age at which people die of AIDS (or of “HIV disease”, as it’s coming to be called) should have moved significantly higher since the 1980s, by at least a decade. But the official statistics show no such change in the age distribution of deaths from HIV disease between 1987 and 2004. Most people who die of HIV disease do so in their late thirties or early forties nowadays, just as two decades ago.

Furthermore, the age distribution for testing HIV-positive also has a maximum around forty years of age. Since the age distributions for infections and for deaths superpose, there is no indication at all of a latent period. That the peak rate for death from HIV disease is around 40 years of age in itself speaks against HIV being an infectious disease: those who die from infections tend to be the distinctly old and the distinctly young, not people in the prime years of adulthood.

Racial disparities are yet another strike against HIV/AIDS theory. Rates of testing “HIV”-positive and rates of death from HIV disease are both much higher among blacks than among other racial groups; yet blacks who die from HIV disease survive to appreciably older ages than do Asians, whites, or Native Americans.


Henry Bauer, PhD, is dean emeritus of the College of Arts and Sciences at Virginia Tech, emertius professor of Chemistry, and former editor of the Journal of Scientific Exploration.




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